Next Permanent Prime Minister after Boris Johnson. Others on request. Acting PM does not count.
2024 or later
When will Boris Johnson officially leave the post of UK Prime Minister?
To be Tory leader at next General Election
To NOT be Tory leader at next General Election
Will Boris Johnson be Conservative Party leader at the next UK General Election?
2023 or Earlier
2025 or Later
Next permanent Labour Leader after Sir Keir Starmer. Interim/caretaker role does not count. Others on request.
Next permanent Scottish First Minister after Nicola Sturgeon. Others on request.
If multiple Cabinet Members leave their positions on the same day Dead Heat rules will Apply
Kamala Harris to become President of the United States before the end of 2040
Kamala Harris to become a two-term President of the United States before the end of 2040
Does not need to serve two full four year terms to count as a two term president - needs to be president of two administrations
Centre Party (SP)
Progress Party (FRP)
Liberal Party (V)
Socialist Left Party (SV)
Christian Democratic Party (KRF)
Green Party (MDG)
Red Party (R)
Applies to next Norwegian General Election due 13th September 2021
Who will win the New York mayoral Election due to be held on 2nd November 2021. Others on request
Which party's leader will be Prime Minister after the next Australian Federal Election? Applies to next election after May 2019 election. Coalition refers to the Liberal Party and the National Party.
Donald Trump Jnr
Who will win the Presidential Election due to take place 5/11/24, Others on request
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Politics Betting with William Hill
Find the latest political betting odds on UK and US elections and more…
Up on your politics?
With political betting from William Hill, you can bet on who’ll become the next prime minister or US president, the results of elections across the world, and the fate of the party leaders.
Bookmark this page, so you can go straight to the latest political betting odds whenever you want. Then, read on for guidance about:
• Political betting – what to look out for
• Popular political betting markets
• Political betting jargon buster
• Tips on political betting
• Political betting odds and promotions
Political betting – what to look out for
General election odds
Before every general election, you can get the latest UK politics odds from William Hill.
Labour have been out of power since 2010 and were crushed under Jeremy Corbyn in the 2019 general election.
Betting on the party to become a force again under Kier Starmer?
Or will the Conservatives hold onto their political base in the south and make further headway in the north of England and Scotland? They’ve won three successive electoral majorities.
And what about the Liberal Democrats? Has their role in the Conservative-Liberal coalition of 2010-15 damaged their political brand for good?
The American political landscape is as polarised as it’s been since the late 1960s.
The Republican and Democratic parties are miles apart on every issue from climate change to trade policy, immigration, healthcare and the role America should play on the world stage.
So, the stakes could hardly be higher when Americans vote for president, and the ripples are felt across the globe.
Presidential elections take place every four years. The winner is the candidate who gets the most votes in the Electoral College.
With William Hill, you can get odds on the next president and on which states will turn red or blue.
Conservative leadership odds
The fortunes of a Conservative leader can go downhill quickly.
Take Margaret Thatcher. In 1987, she won her third general election in a landslide on the back of an economic boom. But, just two years later she was driven away from Number 10 in tears.
Reckon there’s another Tory rebellion on the horizon? All it takes for a leader to face a challenge is for 15% of Conservative MPs to sign a letter to the 1922 Committee.
Get political betting odds on the next Conservative leader right here.
Labour leader odds
Removing and replacing a Labour leader takes time and involves votes from the parliamentary party, the party grass roots and Trade Unions.
That’s why, with famous exceptions like Harold Wilson and Tony Blair, leaders of the party are normally only replaced after poor general election showings.
In fact, there hasn’t been a successful challenge to a sitting Labour leader in the party’s history.
London Mayoral election odds
There are also London mayoral elections once every four years.
Who are you backing to follow in the footsteps of Ken Livingstone, Boris Johnson and Sadiq Khan?
Popular political betting markets
At William Hill, we offer a range of political betting markets. They include:
• Next prime minister betting
• Presidential election winner
• US election winning party
• US presidential debate winner
• Scottish politics specials
• Next Irish president
• Next German chancellor
We also run Future #YourOdds on politics. Is there a political market you’d like a price on? Tweet the details with #YourOdds and our traders could price it up and make it live!
Political betting jargon buster
• Popular vote
When a candidate wins the most votes. In America, this doesn’t decide the presidency – that comes down to the Electoral College. In the UK, the winning party in a general election is the one that takes the most seats and gets a majority in Parliament.
• US Presidential Election Debate
Before a US Election, the candidates normally have three televised debates, held on different news channels with different moderators.
• State betting
Each state in America is worth a certain number of votes in the Electoral College. A presidential candidate collects all those votes when they win a state – no matter how small the margin.
There are 650 parliamentary constituencies in the UK, and these translate into seats in Parliament. The party that wins the general election is the one that gets the majority. If no party manages this, there’s a ‘hung parliament’, when parties either form a coalition or another election is held.
Tips on political betting
If you are betting on elections, you should keep an eye on the most respected polls.
In the UK, these include Ipsos MORI, Opinium and YouGov. In America, CNN and MSNBC run regular polls, plus you have polling firms like FiveThirtyEight, which was founded by the famous number-cruncher Nate Silver.
Don’t forget that every poll includes a margin for error, and they all get it wrong sometimes!
Political betting offers and promotions
We often run promotions in the lead up to major elections. They can include Enhanced Odds, where we push out the prices on selected markets.